On any given day, people can easily find articles and news stories describing an impending bust of the so-called real estate bubble. Despite this gloomy prediction, many experts believe that the recent slowdown in housing will be a gradual and modest readjustment rather than sharp bust or decline. These experts believe that factors that lead to a sharp decline in the real estate market are just not present in the current economic outlook. In fact, a recent study by the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University noted that “despite the current cool-down, the long-term outlook for housing is bright.”
The rise and fall of the real estate market is subject to the forces of supply and demand, and these factors point to stable and positive growth in the real estate segment.
SUPPLY FACTORS
Limited supply of real estate makes it scarce and usually pushes home prices up. In contrast, an oversupply of real estate tends to put downward pressure on home prices. Despite the current slow down in the real estate market, factors that impact limited supply favor continued growth in the real estate market. Some of these factors include:
1. Builders have readjusted growth plans in regions that have an oversupply of new housing. Over time, any excess inventory is likely to be depleted and equilibrium achieved between supply and demand.
2. The availability of land in certain regions, as well land use regulations and associated compliance costs will continue to restrict the supply of new homes.
DEMAND FACTORS:
Housing located in regions with high demand tend to be more expensive than homes in regions with low demand. Factors that impact the demand for housing suggests a favorable long-term housing outlook. Some of these factors include:
1. No current evidence of significant and across-the-board job losses; forecasts of relatively low unemployment rates.
2. Long-term increased demand for second homes, vacation homes and senior housing by baby boomers.
3. Long-term increased demand for entry-level homes by the children of baby boomers.
4. Long-term increased demand for entry-level homes by immigrants.
5. Long-term increased demand for entry-level homes by second-generation Americans.
6. Forecasts that the outflows and inflows of the U.S. population in and out different regions will not significantly impact the overall U.S. real estate housing market.
7. Relative stability in interest rates.
8. Continued stability in long-term home appreciation rates.
9. Overall, rising rate of wealth across all age groups.
SUMMARY
In summary, strong household growth, overall rising incomes and wealth, and a stable economy all bode well for continued long-term growth in the real estate market. While the overall housing outlook is favorable, affordability will continue to be a challenge, as wages, especially in the lower income levels, have not kept up with housing costs.
Archive for December, 2005
U.S. Real Estate Forecast From A Supply
Wednesday, December 21st, 20052006: Most Active Real Estate Foreclosure Markets
Saturday, December 17th, 2005The foreclosure market is an attractive option for buyers wanting to invest in real estate. A foreclosed property is a mortgaged property that has been taken over by the lender due to non-payment of the mortgage. The lender then sells the property in order to recover the money, often at below market prices. Foreclosed homes, condos and other properties can for make excellent investments and is a popular choice for those entering the real estate market.
The October 2006 issue of Business 2.0 Magazine ranks the top 10 foreclosure markets in the United States. Greeley in Colorado tops the list followed by Detroit in Michigan, Miami in Florida, Indianapolis in Indiana, Ft. Lauderdale in Florida, Denver in Colorado, Dayton in Ohio, Dallas and Fort Worth in Texas, and Atlanta in Georgia.
Greeley, CO, has the largest number of foreclosure households in the country, with 0.59% of homes falling in the category, an increase by 14.7% since January 2006. The report holds aggressive residential development, risky underwriting practices and stagnant wages as the main causes.
Detroit, MI, stands next with 0.51% of the households in foreclosure. The badly performing auto industry and the resulting impact to autoworkers’ incomes has contributed to number of homes in foreclosure in this city.
Third on the list is Miami, FL, where 0.37% of the households are in foreclosure, a staggering 91% increase since January 2006. The report states a weakening economy, higher property insurance premiums, and rising energy and interest rates, as the reasons for this rapid increase.
The fourth among the top ten foreclosure markets is Indianapolis, IN. Although the foreclosure rates are slightly lower from last year, still the portion of households in foreclosure stands at 0.35%. Setbacks and layoffs in the city’s auto industry together with falling home prices have contributed to foreclosure rates in this city.
Fort Lauderdale, FL, stands fifth with 0.34% of households entering foreclosure, which is up by a whopping 118.5% since January 2006.
Denver (with 0.33% of households in foreclosure), Dayton (with 0.33% of households in foreclosure), Dallas (with 0.31% of households in foreclosures), Fort Worth (with 0.31% of households in foreclosure) and Atlanta (with 0.31% of households in foreclosures) round out the top 10 foreclosure markets.
If you are looking to invest in the foreclosure market, consult a real estate agent who can help you clinch the best deal on the foreclosure property of your choice.
Understanding Real Estate Taxes
Thursday, December 8th, 2005Many homeowners do not understand much about real estate taxes and for this reason can end up in the position of losing their homes. Real estate taxes or property tax is normally calculated on the land value, the location, the county laws, and other factors. Real estate taxes are utilized for the upkeep of roads and other public services like emergency services and other municipal services enjoyed by the local residents. Real estate taxes are also in one way limited to the United States alone but for almost every country worldwide as well. Other names used for real estate taxes are rates and land levies and every homeowner will have to pay them.
How Much in Real estate taxes must I pay?
Real estate taxes are assed according to the sale value of your land or home. Rates are likely to be reassessed each year and normal inflationary increases and land values mean that your real estate taxes will increase with them. There are strict laws in place to ensure that these real estate taxes are paid and if you fall behind you are likely to even lose your home. The bill of rights requires that your property tax bill shows your assessment value of the property and the percentage of the how the figure has been arrived at. Real estate taxes can change according to the local municipal needs and area upgrades that need financing so your real estate taxes can change at any time in relation to municipal budgets.
Do I benefit from Real estate taxes?
Everyone benefits from real estate taxes because this money is used to the good all of all residents. In addition to this there are certain IRS benefits for real homeowners as well. Homeowner, are entitled to deduct payments of real estate taxes that they are paying on their property if you claimed for itemized deductions on your tax return. The IRS allows you to deduct real estate taxes on your main home as well as on any other homes and real estate you own. There are no also limits on the dollar amount of real estate taxes you can deduct either so this is certainly beneficial. For real estate investors with multiple properties and homes, there are also no limits on the number of these houses or properties for which deductions can be claimed for in real estate taxes.
How is Real estate Taxes paid?
When you pay monthly mortgage payment to a bank or financial institution holding your mortgage then the amount generally includes the real estate taxes that have to be paid on your property. The bank or mortgage holder pays these real estate taxes to the proper taxing county authority on their due dates. When your real estate taxes are included in your mortgage payments then you may claim an IRS deduction only in the tax year you actually pay your real estate taxes. You will find the real estate taxes paid for the year on the statement than the bank or mortgage lender gives you on the end of the year mortgage statements.
Buying Cheap real estate land and Homes with Tax Liens
Knowing the Ps and Qs or real estate taxes and tax lien foreclosures can make investing in real estate very lucrative. As mentioned above real estate taxes are tax deductible from the IRS no matter how many homes you own. If you have the right knowledge it is possible to purchase homes at a fraction of their prices for back real estate taxes but realtors and property investors in the know will rather prefer to keep this knowledge secret. It is possible to purchase luxury dream homes of your own or buy and sell property to make handsome returns if you know where to get your hands on this valuable information. You will find that the investment in information of this nature can also help you save money on your own property as well
Learn More About Real Estate and Tax Lien Properties